Statball

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Houston Astros
3
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 4 H, 0 EMets · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Luis Robert Jr. called out on strikes.
bot 9Carson Benge grounds out, first baseman Christian Walker to pitcher Josh Hader.
bot 9Bo Bichette strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Nelson Velázquez called out on strikes.
top 9Cam Smith strikes out swinging.
top 9Yainer Diaz pops out to catcher Luis Torrens in foul territory.
bot 8Francisco Lindor strikes out swinging.
bot 8A.J. Ewing flies out to left fielder Nelson Velázquez.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Daulton Varsho 1-4, 2 RBI · Jose Altuve 1-3 · Jeremy Peña 1-3
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Marcus Semien 2-2 · Luis Torrens 1-3 · Carson Benge 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.