Statball

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San Diego Padres
5
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
2
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 11 H, 1 EMets · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bo Bichette strikes out swinging.
bot 9Francisco Lindor strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jared Young flies out sharply to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Ty France strikes out swinging.
top 9Manny Machado homers (24) on a fly ball to left center field.52
top 9Jase Bowen singles on a ground ball to left fielder A.J. Ewing. Jase Bowen out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder A.J. Ewing to second baseman Marcus Semien.
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Christopher Morel.
bot 8A.J. Ewing strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Manny Machado 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Rengifo 1-2
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Torrens 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Robert Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.