Statball

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Washington Nationals
4
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
5
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 7 H, 0 EMets · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Francisco Lindor singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Cristian Pache scores. Luis Robert Jr. to 3rd.45
bot 9A.J. Ewing strikes out swinging.
bot 9Francisco Alvarez doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Andrew Pinckney. Brett Baty scores. Cristian Pache to 3rd.44
bot 9Jorge Polanco singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Brett Baty to 2nd.
bot 9Brett Baty walks.
top 9Nasim Nuñez strikes out swinging.
top 9Daylen Lile strikes out swinging.
top 9Jacob Young grounds out sharply, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Jared Young.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brady House 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Andrés Chaparro 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jacob Young 2-4
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Benge 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Francisco Lindor 2-4, 1 RBI · Jared Young 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.