Statball

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San Diego Padres
1
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
2
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912
Padres · 7 H, 0 EMets · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Luis Rengifo strikes out swinging.
top 9Xander Bogaerts pops out to first baseman Jared Young in foul territory.
top 9Gavin Sheets strikes out swinging.
bot 8Francisco Lindor grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Manny Machado. Marcus Semien out at 3rd.
bot 8A.J. Ewing strikes out swinging.
bot 8Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jorge Polanco singles on a pop up to second baseman Jake Cronenworth. Marcus Semien to 2nd.
bot 8Marcus Semien singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Cronenworth 2-3 · Luis Rengifo 1-4 · Jackson Merrill 1-4
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 1-3, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 1-3 · Marcus Semien 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.