Statball

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Washington Nationals
1
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
4
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789122
Nationals · 5 H, 0 EMets · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Abimelec Ortiz strikes out swinging.
top 9CJ Abrams hit by pitch.
top 9Jacob Young singles on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge.
top 9Jorbit Vivas flies out to left fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 9Nasim Nuñez grounds out, pitcher Kodai Senga to first baseman Jared Young.
bot 8Jared Young strikes out swinging.
bot 8Marcus Semien doubles (10) on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews.
bot 8Francisco Alvarez strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brady House 2-3, 1 RBI · Jorbit Vivas 1-4 · Daylen Lile 1-4
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jared Young 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Torrens 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.