Statball

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Miami Marlins
5
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567894111
Marlins · 8 H, 1 EMets · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Francisco Alvarez flies out sharply to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 9Jorge Polanco flies out to right fielder Esteury Ruiz.
bot 9Marcus Semien strikes out swinging.
top 9Joe Mack strikes out swinging.
top 9Jakob Marsee flies out to third baseman Bo Bichette.
top 9Heriberto Hernández pops out to first baseman Jared Young.
bot 8Jared Young strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luis Robert Jr. grounds into a double play, shortstop Otto Lopez to second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Kyle Stowers. Carson Benge out at 2nd. Luis Robert Jr. out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joe Mack 2-4, 2 RBI · Griffin Conine 1-3
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 3-4 · Jared Young 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.