Statball

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Miami Marlins
6
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 10 H, 0 EMets · 7 H, 2 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Marcus Semien flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 9Jared Young strikes out swinging.
bot 9Carson Benge grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
top 9Javier Sanoja flies out to left fielder Tyrone Taylor.
top 9Kyle Stowers grounds out, first baseman Jared Young to pitcher Kevin Herget.
top 9Jakob Marsee lines out to right fielder Carson Benge.
bot 8Bo Bichette lines out to right fielder Esteury Ruiz.
bot 8Francisco Lindor singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Griffin Conine 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Javier Sanoja 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Esteury Ruiz 2-3
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tyrone Taylor 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Francisco Lindor 2-4 · Bo Bichette 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.