Statball

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Miami Marlins
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
4
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 7 H, 1 EMets · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Javier Sanoja pops out to second baseman Marcus Semien.
top 9Jakob Marsee strikes out swinging.
top 9Griffin Conine strikes out swinging.
top 9Heriberto Hernández walks.
bot 8Tyrone Taylor called out on strikes.
bot 8Luis Robert Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Bo Bichette scores. Carson Benge scores. Luis Robert Jr. to 2nd.24
bot 8Carson Benge singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Bo Bichette to 3rd.
bot 8Bo Bichette doubles (16) on a ground ball to right fielder Griffin Conine.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Stowers 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Graham Pauley 2-3
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 2-4 · Francisco Lindor 1-4, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.