Statball

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Boston Red Sox
3
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789102111
Sox · 4 H, 0 EMets · 6 H, 2 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Bo Bichette grounds out to first baseman Andruw Monasterio.
bot 10Brett Baty flies out to left fielder Masataka Yoshida.
bot 10Jorge Polanco strikes out swinging.
top 10Ceddanne Rafaela flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
top 10Anthony Seigler out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tyrone Taylor. Masataka Yoshida scores.32
top 10Connor Wong out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Brett Baty to second baseman Zack Short. Masataka Yoshida to 3rd.
bot 9Tyrone Taylor flies out to left fielder Masataka Yoshida.
bot 9Carson Benge strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Connor Wong 1-3 · Andruw Monasterio 1-2, 1 RBI · Jarren Duran 1-4, 1 RBI
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luis Torrens 1-3 · Tyrone Taylor 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.