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Boston Red Sox
4
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
0
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678922
Sox · 6 H, 0 EMets · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Tyrone Taylor flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 9Brett Baty grounds into a force out, first baseman Romy Gonzalez to shortstop Andruw Monasterio. Francisco Alvarez out at 2nd. Brett Baty to 1st.
bot 9Francisco Alvarez walks.
bot 9Eric Wagaman grounds out, shortstop Andruw Monasterio to first baseman Romy Gonzalez.
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela lines out sharply to center fielder Tyrone Taylor.
top 9Anthony Seigler grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Eric Wagaman.
top 9Romy Gonzalez flies out to center fielder Tyrone Taylor.
bot 8Jorge Polanco grounds into a double play, third baseman Caleb Durbin to second baseman Anthony Seigler to first baseman Romy Gonzalez. Francisco Lindor out at 2nd. Jorge Polanco out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Andruw Monasterio 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Masataka Yoshida 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Caleb Durbin 2-3
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Alvarez 2-3 · Jorge Polanco 1-4 · Tyrone Taylor 0-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.