Statball

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Boston Red Sox
6
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 11 H, 1 EMets · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Tyrone Taylor pops out to second baseman Anthony Seigler.
bot 9Brett Baty homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.62
bot 9Francisco Alvarez flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 9Jared Young grounds out, second baseman Anthony Seigler to first baseman Romy Gonzalez.
top 9Connor Wong flies out to left fielder Juan Soto.
top 9Caleb Durbin singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Masataka Yoshida to 2nd.
top 9Romy Gonzalez strikes out swinging.
top 9Wilyer Abreu homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.61

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Anthony Seigler 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tsung-Che Cheng 2-4
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Baty 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jared Young 2-4 · A.J. Ewing 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.