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Kansas City Royals
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
6
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 8 H, 0 EMets · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Bobby Witt Jr. strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Carter Jensen doubles (18) on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Josh Rojas scores.26
top 9Josh Rojas walks.
top 9Isaac Collins grounds out to first baseman Jared Young.
top 9Nick Loftin grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Jared Young.
bot 8Bo Bichette strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jose Cuas intentionally walks Juan Soto.
bot 8A.J. Ewing doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. Francisco Alvarez to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 1-4, 1 RBI · Isaac Collins 1-4 · Salvador Perez 1-4, 1 RBI
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
A.J. Ewing 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 2-3 · Bo Bichette 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.