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Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
7
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 7 H, 1 EMets · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jac Caglianone grounds out, second baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Jared Young.
top 9Nick Loftin singles on a ground ball to left fielder Juan Soto.
top 9Josh Rojas called out on strikes.
top 9Salvador Perez grounds out, first baseman Jared Young to pitcher Devin Williams.
bot 8A.J. Ewing strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luis Torrens walks.
bot 8Brett Baty strikes out swinging.
bot 8Tyrone Taylor doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Lane Thomas 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Loftin 2-4
New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tyrone Taylor 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Juan Soto 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.