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Kansas City Royals
16
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
12
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 19 H, 3 EMets · 13 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Luis Torrens grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Jac Caglianone.
bot 9Brett Baty flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 9Jared Young grounds out, third baseman Nick Loftin to first baseman Jac Caglianone.
top 9Bobby Witt Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Carter Jensen strikes out swinging.
top 9Tyler Tolbert flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
bot 8Jorge Polanco flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 8Carson Benge singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler Tolbert. A.J. Ewing scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd.1612

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Tolbert 5-6, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nick Loftin 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Lane Thomas 3-4, 4 RBI
New York Mets
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
A.J. Ewing 4-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Juan Soto 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Carson Benge 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.