Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
5
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
4
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 10 H, 1 EMets · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Luis Torrens lines out to right fielder Derek Hill.
bot 9Brett Baty walks.
bot 9A.J. Ewing grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 9Jared Young pops out to shortstop Trea Turner.
top 9Kyle Schwarber grounds out, first baseman Jared Young to pitcher Kodai Senga.
top 9Trea Turner pops out to shortstop Bo Bichette.
top 9Justin Crawford flies out to left fielder Juan Soto.
bot 8Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Schwarber 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Marsh 2-4, 1 RBI · Alec Bohm 2-3, 1 RBI
New York Mets
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
A.J. Ewing 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tyrone Taylor 2-2 · Luis Torrens 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.