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Philadelphia Phillies
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
6
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 5 H, 0 EMets · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Gabriel Rincones Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Edmundo Sosa lines out to second baseman Brett Baty.
top 9Bryson Stott walks.
top 9Brandon Marsh pops out to third baseman Bo Bichette.
bot 8Carson Benge strikes out swinging.
bot 8Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Brett Baty walks.
bot 8A.J. Ewing grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Marsh 1-4 · Justin Crawford 1-3
New York Mets
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Benge 2-5 · Juan Soto 2-3, 1 RBI · A.J. Ewing 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.