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Philadelphia Phillies
2
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 9 H, 1 EMets · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bo Bichette grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 9Juan Soto grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Justin Crawford grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Jared Young.
top 9Bryson Stott singles on a line drive to left fielder Juan Soto.
top 9J.T. Realmuto lines out to first baseman Jared Young.
top 9Derek Hill called out on strikes.
bot 8Carson Benge pops out to third baseman Alec Bohm.
bot 8Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 3-4, 1 RBI · Trea Turner 2-4, 1 RBI · J.T. Realmuto 1-4
New York Mets
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 56 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 1-4 · Carson Benge 1-4 · Francisco Lindor 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.