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Chicago Cubs
10
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
5
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 12 H, 0 EMets · 8 H, 6 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Francisco Lindor lines out to shortstop Dansby Swanson.
bot 9Carson Benge walks.
bot 9MJ Melendez walks.
bot 9A.J. Ewing lines out sharply to left fielder Ian Happ.
bot 9Jared Young strikes out swinging.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong pops out to shortstop Francisco Lindor.
top 9Dansby Swanson singles on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Carson Kelly scores. Pedro Ramírez scores.105
top 9Pedro Ramírez singles on a pop up to right fielder Carson Benge. Nico Hoerner scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd.85

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
12 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Pedro Ramírez 3-5, 2 RBI · Dansby Swanson 3-5, 4 RBI · Nico Hoerner 3-5
New York Mets
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · A.J. Ewing 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Francisco Alvarez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.