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Chicago Cubs
4
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
3
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 6 H, 1 EMets · 9 H, 2 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Carson Benge grounds out sharply, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 10Brett Baty grounds out sharply, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Ronny Mauricio to 3rd.
bot 10Eric Wagaman lines out to left fielder Ian Happ.
top 10Michael Busch flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
top 10Carson Kelly lines out to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.
top 10Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Matt Shaw scores.43
top 10Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ronny Mauricio grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 49 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-5, 1 RBI · Michael Conforto 1-4, 1 RBI · Ian Happ 1-4, 1 RBI
New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 62 batters faced over the last two days
Eric Wagaman 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jared Young 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.