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Chicago Cubs
10
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
3
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893343
Cubs · 9 H, 0 EMets · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9MJ Melendez grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Tyler Ferguson.
bot 9Marcus Semien lines out to third baseman Pedro Ramírez.
bot 9Eric Wagaman grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Nico Hoerner lines out to second baseman Marcus Semien.
top 9Ian Happ called out on strikes.
top 9Seiya Suzuki strikes out swinging.
bot 8Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
12 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Dansby Swanson 2-4, 2 HR, 7 RBI · Michael Busch 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Conforto 1-4, 1 RBI
New York Mets
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Alvarez 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jared Young 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Carson Benge 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.