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Chicago Cubs
9
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
6
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 8 H, 0 EMets · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.
bot 9Bo Bichette homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Carson Benge scores.96
bot 9Carson Benge singles on a line drive to right fielder Matt Shaw. Brett Baty scores.94
bot 9Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
bot 9MJ Melendez flies out to right fielder Matt Shaw.
top 9Ian Happ strikes out swinging.
top 9Seiya Suzuki singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Eric Wagaman. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd. Seiya Suzuki advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by left fielder Eric Wagaman.
top 9Michael Busch flies out to left fielder Eric Wagaman.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dansby Swanson 2-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ian Happ 1-5
New York Mets
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Francisco Alvarez 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brett Baty 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.