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Atlanta Braves
1
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
8
100% — our call
Atlanta Bravesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Braves. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Braves · 4 H, 2 EMets · 13 H, 1 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jorge Mateo lines out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 9Austin Riley flies out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 9Dominic Smith flies out to second baseman Marcus Semien.
bot 8Marcus Semien called out on strikes.
bot 8A.J. Ewing strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jared Young lines out softly to second baseman Ozzie Albies.
bot 8Juan Soto singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Carson Benge scores. Bo Bichette scores.18
bot 8Bo Bichette singles on a soft ground ball to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Carson Benge to 3rd. Bo Bichette to 2nd. Carson Benge advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by second baseman Ozzie Albies.

Context the model prices

Atlanta Braves
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Harris II 1-3 · Mauricio Dubón 1-4 · Matt Olson 1-4
New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
A.J. Ewing 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Marcus Semien 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.