Statball

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Atlanta Braves
3
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Atlanta Bravesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Braves. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Braves · 7 H, 0 EMets · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Francisco Alvarez grounds into a double play, pitcher Raisel Iglesias to second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson. Marcus Semien out at 2nd. Francisco Alvarez out at 1st.
bot 9Marcus Semien walks.
bot 9Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.
bot 9Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Juan Soto doubles (6) on a fly ball to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski.
top 9Dominic Smith grounds out softly to first baseman Mark Vientos.
top 9Eli White grounds out, shortstop Bo Bichette to first baseman Mark Vientos.
top 9Austin Riley strikes out swinging.
bot 8Bo Bichette grounds out, pitcher Robert Suarez to first baseman Matt Olson.

Context the model prices

Atlanta Braves
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Eli White 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Harris II 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Mauricio Dubón 1-4
New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 2-4 · Juan Soto 2-4 · Mark Vientos 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.