Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
9
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
2
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 11 H, 0 EMets · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
bot 9Eric Wagaman hit by pitch.
bot 9Marcus Semien flies out to right fielder Lars Nootbaar.
bot 9Mark Vientos lines out to left fielder Nelson Velázquez.
top 9Masyn Winn lines out sharply to shortstop Bo Bichette.
top 9Lars Nootbaar grounds out, first baseman Jared Young to pitcher Jonathan Pintaro.
top 9Jordan Walker flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
top 9Alec Burleson homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.92

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 2-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 3-5 · Alec Burleson 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Alvarez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brett Baty 1-3 · Jared Young 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.