Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
4
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
5
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 7 H, 0 EMets · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nathan Church strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryan Torres flies out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 9Jimmy Crooks strikes out swinging.
bot 8Brett Baty flies out to left fielder Lars Nootbaar.
bot 8Marcus Semien strikes out swinging.
bot 8A.J. Ewing called out on strikes.
top 8Masyn Winn flies out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 8Lars Nootbaar grounds out, first baseman Jared Young to pitcher Luke Weaver.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Lars Nootbaar 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alec Burleson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jimmy Crooks 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 47 batters faced over the last two days
Juan Soto 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jared Young 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Bo Bichette 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.