Statball

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Miami Marlins
7
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
9
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 13 H, 2 EMets · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10MJ Melendez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Vidal Bruján scores.79
bot 10Juan Soto flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 10Javier Sanoja lines out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 10Owen Caissie grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Mark Vientos. Jakob Marsee to 3rd.
top 10Connor Norby strikes out swinging.
bot 9Bo Bichette flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 9Carson Benge flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 9Luis Torrens strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Owen Caissie 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Stowers 3-5, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 2-4, 1 RBI
New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Mark Vientos 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · MJ Melendez 1-1, 1 HR, 3 RBI · A.J. Ewing 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.