Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
7
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678923112
Reds · 15 H, 0 EMets · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Eric Wagaman grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer.
bot 9Mark Vientos grounds out sharply, first baseman Spencer Steer to pitcher Tony Santillan.
bot 9A.J. Ewing grounds out to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Tyler Stephenson pops out to third baseman Eric Wagaman.
top 9JJ Bleday called out on strikes.
top 9Dane Myers strikes out swinging.
top 9Eugenio Suárez singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder MJ Melendez.
bot 8Juan Soto flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Bleday 3-5 · Elly De La Cruz 2-5, 2 RBI · Dane Myers 2-4
New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Juan Soto 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luis Torrens 2-3 · Bo Bichette 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.