Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
7
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 6 H, 0 EMets · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Carson Benge grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer.
bot 9Luis Torrens strikes out swinging.
top 9JJ Bleday strikes out swinging.
top 9Elly De La Cruz called out on strikes.
top 9Blake Dunn grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Mark Vientos.
bot 8Nick Morabito strikes out swinging.
bot 8MJ Melendez called out on strikes.
bot 8A.J. Ewing called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 47 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Stephenson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · JJ Bleday 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Eugenio Suárez 2-3
New York Mets
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Marcus Semien 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 3-4 · Mark Vientos 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.