Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
4
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 8 H, 1 EMets · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Blake Dunn strikes out swinging.
top 9Dane Myers strikes out swinging.
top 9P.J. Higgins walks. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd. Matt McLain to 2nd.
top 9Spencer Steer strikes out swinging.
top 9Nathaniel Lowe walks. Eugenio Suárez to 2nd.
top 9Eugenio Suárez walks.
bot 8Jared Young grounds out, second baseman Spencer Steer to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
bot 8A.J. Ewing grounds out softly, pitcher Caleb Ferguson to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Blake Dunn 3-6 · Sal Stewart 1-4, 1 RBI · Nathaniel Lowe 1-3, 1 RBI
New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Juan Soto 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Eric Wagaman 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.