Statball

← All live games · Citi Field

New York Yankees
3
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
6
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891112121
Yankees · 9 H, 1 EMets · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. grounds out to first baseman Mark Vientos.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt flies out to left fielder Juan Soto.
top 9Cody Bellinger strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luis Torrens flies out to center fielder Trent Grisham.
bot 8Brett Baty strikes out swinging.
bot 8MJ Melendez walks.
bot 8A.J. Ewing singles on a ground ball to shortstop Anthony Volpe, deflected by third baseman Amed Rosario.
top 8Aaron Judge flies out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Aaron Judge 2-4 · Paul Goldschmidt 2-4, 1 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-5
New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Benge 3-4 · Juan Soto 2-2 · Mark Vientos 1-4, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.