Statball

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New York Yankees
6
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
7
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 6 H, 0 EMets · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Carson Benge reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by left fielder Max Schuemann. Marcus Semien scores. Luis Torrens to 2nd.67
bot 10Luis Torrens hit by pitch.
bot 10A.J. Ewing out on a sacrifice bunt, catcher Austin Wells to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Marcus Semien to 3rd.
top 10Austin Wells grounds into a double play, first baseman Mark Vientos to shortstop Bo Bichette to first baseman Mark Vientos. Anthony Volpe out at 2nd. Austin Wells out at 1st.
top 10Anthony Volpe walks.
top 10Max Schuemann strikes out swinging.
bot 9Marcus Semien pops out to first baseman Ben Rice in foul territory.
bot 9Brett Baty walks.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Anthony Volpe 2-3, 3 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-3
New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 55 batters faced over the last two days
Tyrone Taylor 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Mark Vientos 2-5 · Marcus Semien 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.