Statball

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New York Yankees
5
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
2
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 10 H, 0 EMets · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Marcus Semien lines out to third baseman Ryan McMahon.
bot 9Brett Baty singles on a ground ball to right fielder Aaron Judge. MJ Melendez scores.52
bot 9MJ Melendez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Aaron Judge.
bot 9Mark Vientos grounds into a double play, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Ben Rice. Juan Soto out at 2nd. Mark Vientos out at 1st.
bot 9Juan Soto walks.
top 9Pitcher Craig Kimbrel picks off Jazz Chisholm Jr. at 1st on throw to first baseman Mark Vientos.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Juan Soto.
top 9Cody Bellinger grounds out, shortstop Bo Bichette to first baseman Mark Vientos.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3-4, 2 RBI · Spencer Jones 2-4, 1 RBI
New York Mets
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Juan Soto 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brett Baty 2-3, 1 RBI · Marcus Semien 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.