Statball

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Detroit Tigers
4
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
9
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 7 H, 1 EMets · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Wenceel Pérez strikes out swinging.
top 9Spencer Torkelson pops out to second baseman Marcus Semien.
top 9Zach McKinstry grounds out sharply, third baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Mark Vientos.
bot 8Juan Soto grounds out, second baseman Gage Workman to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Bo Bichette walks. Carson Benge to 2nd.
bot 8Carson Benge singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene.
bot 8Hayden Senger lines out sharply to center fielder Wenceel Pérez.
bot 8A.J. Ewing lines out to left fielder Riley Greene.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
12 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Gage Workman 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Dillon Dingler 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Riley Greene 2-3
New York Mets
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Marcus Semien 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Juan Soto 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · A.J. Ewing 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.