Statball

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Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
3
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 8 H, 0 EMets · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Carson Benge singles on a ground ball to center fielder Matt Vierling. A.J. Ewing scores.23
bot 10Luis Torrens strikes out swinging.
top 10Wenceel Pérez flies out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 10Matt Vierling walks.
top 10Riley Greene pops out to third baseman Brett Baty in foul territory.
top 10Jahmai Jones strikes out swinging.
bot 9A.J. Ewing called out on strikes.
bot 9Tyrone Taylor strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
12 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Riley Greene 3-5, 2 RBI · Dillon Dingler 2-5 · Zach McKinstry 1-4
New York Mets
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Benge 3-5, 1 RBI · Luis Torrens 1-3 · Bo Bichette 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.