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Washington Nationals
14
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 15 H, 0 EMets · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Juan Soto flies out to right fielder Joey Wiemer.
bot 9Bo Bichette grounds out, second baseman José Tena to first baseman Curtis Mead.
bot 9Ronny Mauricio strikes out swinging, catcher Keibert Ruiz to first baseman Curtis Mead.
top 9José Tena lines out sharply to left fielder Austin Slater.
top 9Brady House flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
top 9Curtis Mead homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.142
top 9James Wood strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luis Torrens grounds out, second baseman José Tena to first baseman Curtis Mead.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Curtis Mead 4-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brady House 1-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · CJ Abrams 3-4, 2 RBI
New York Mets
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Juan Soto 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tyrone Taylor 2-4 · Marcus Semien 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.