Statball

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Washington Nationals
5
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
4
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 7 H, 0 EMets · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ronny Mauricio strikes out swinging.
bot 9Francisco Alvarez doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile.
bot 9Carson Benge grounds out to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 9Marcus Semien grounds out, third baseman Jorbit Vivas to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Jacob Young caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Luis Torrens to shortstop Ronny Mauricio.
top 9Jacob Young reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Ronny Mauricio to catcher Luis Torrens. Nasim Nuñez out at home.
top 9Keibert Ruiz flies out to right fielder Carson Benge. Nasim Nuñez to 3rd.
top 9Nasim Nuñez singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor, deflected by right fielder Carson Benge.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Luis García Jr. 2-4 · Nasim Nuñez 1-4
New York Mets
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
MJ Melendez 2-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Juan Soto 2-3 · Francisco Alvarez 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.