Statball

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Colorado Rockies
3
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Colorado Rockiesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Rockies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891111
Rockies · 7 H, 0 EMets · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9MJ Melendez strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Brett Baty grounds out, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to first baseman Troy Johnston.
bot 9Marcus Semien strikes out swinging.
top 9Ezequiel Tovar flies out to center fielder Luis Robert Jr.
top 9Brett Sullivan grounds out to first baseman Mark Vientos.
top 9Kyle Karros grounds out, third baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Mark Vientos.
bot 8Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luis Robert Jr. pops out to first baseman Troy Johnston in foul territory.

Context the model prices

Colorado Rockies
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
Jake McCarthy 2-3, 1 RBI · Edouard Julien 2-4 · Mickey Moniak 1-3
New York Mets
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Tyrone Taylor 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 1-3 · Francisco Alvarez 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.