Statball

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Washington Nationals
0
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
8
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 3 H, 1 EMets · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Daylen Lile strikes out swinging.
top 9CJ Abrams strikes out swinging.
top 9Brady House strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ronny Mauricio called out on strikes.
bot 8Carson Benge flies out to second baseman Nasim Nuñez.
bot 8Marcus Semien walks. Mark Vientos to 2nd.
bot 8Brett Baty lines out to second baseman Nasim Nuñez.
bot 8Mark Vientos walks.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 1-4 · Drew Millas 1-3 · Jorbit Vivas 1-3
New York Mets
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Juan Soto 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Carson Benge 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.