Statball

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Colorado Rockies
4
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
3
0% — our call
Colorado Rockiesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Rockies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rockies · 10 H, 1 EMets · 11 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9MJ Melendez strikes out swinging.
bot 9Carson Benge lines out to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar.
bot 9Marcus Semien flies out to right fielder Troy Johnston.
top 9Kyle Karros strikes out swinging.
top 9Tyler Freeman lines out to center fielder Tyrone Taylor.
bot 8Mark Vientos lines into an unassisted double play, second baseman Tyler Freeman. Tommy Pham out at 2nd.
bot 8Brett Baty singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Ronny Mauricio scores. Bo Bichette scores. Francisco Alvarez to 2nd.43
bot 8Francisco Alvarez singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jordan Beck. Ronny Mauricio to 3rd. Bo Bichette to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Colorado Rockies
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 51 batters faced over the last two days
Ezequiel Tovar 2-4 · Mickey Moniak 1-5 · Jake McCarthy 1-3, 1 RBI
New York Mets
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 47 batters faced over the last two days
Mark Vientos 2-4 · Brett Baty 2-4, 2 RBI · Ronny Mauricio 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.