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Minnesota Twins
8
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
10
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 12 H, 0 EMets · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Trevor Larnach strikes out swinging.
top 9Byron Buxton doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Tristan Gray to 3rd.
top 9Tristan Gray singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Brooks Lee scores.810
top 9Brooks Lee singles on a line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr.
top 9Luke Keaschall strikes out swinging.
top 9Austin Martin grounds out to first baseman Brett Baty.
bot 8Juan Soto flies out to right fielder Austin Martin.
bot 8Bo Bichette doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Brett Baty scores. Marcus Semien scores. Tommy Pham scores.710

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Gray 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brooks Lee 3-4 · Austin Martin 3-4, 1 RBI
New York Mets
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Baty 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Carson Benge 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 3-5, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.