Statball

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Minnesota Twins
5
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
3
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892123
Twins · 6 H, 0 EMets · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Tyrone Taylor strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Francisco Alvarez lines out to right fielder Matt Wallner.
bot 9Luis Torrens strikes out swinging.
top 9Byron Buxton strikes out swinging.
top 9Brooks Lee strikes out swinging.
top 9Royce Lewis strikes out swinging.
top 9Matt Wallner walks. Ryan Jeffers scores. Kody Clemens to 3rd. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.53
top 9Luke Keaschall singles on a ground ball to left fielder Carson Benge. James Outman scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd. Kody Clemens to 2nd.43

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Byron Buxton 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luke Keaschall 2-4, 2 RBI · Kody Clemens 1-3
New York Mets
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bo Bichette 1-4 · Mark Vientos 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.