Statball

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Minnesota Twins
2
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
3
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 7 H, 1 EMets · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Byron Buxton strikes out swinging.
top 9Brooks Lee singles on a ground ball to shortstop Bo Bichette.
top 9Royce Lewis called out on strikes.
top 9Matt Wallner strikes out swinging.
bot 8Marcus Semien lines out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
bot 8Mark Vientos singles on a fly ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Brett Baty scores. Francisco Alvarez to 3rd.23
bot 8Francisco Alvarez walks. Brett Baty to 2nd.
bot 8Brett Baty walks.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Byron Buxton 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kody Clemens 1-3 · Brooks Lee 1-4
New York Mets
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 2-2, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 1-4 · Tyrone Taylor 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.