Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
7
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789431
Diamondbacks · 8 H, 0 EMets · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Luis Torrens grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
bot 9Brett Baty strikes out swinging.
bot 9Francisco Alvarez grounds out, third baseman Jose Fernandez to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
top 9Ildemaro Vargas grounds out softly, pitcher Richard Lovelady to first baseman Mark Vientos.
top 9Ketel Marte flies out to right fielder Brett Baty.
top 9Jorge Barrosa lines out to center fielder Luis Robert Jr.
bot 8Marcus Semien lines out to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo.
bot 8Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Jose Fernandez 2-4, 1 RBI · Gabriel Moreno 2-2, 2 RBI · Tim Tawa 1-3, 1 RBI
New York Mets
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Robert Jr. 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 1-3 · Tyrone Taylor 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.