Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
4
100% — our call
Final
New York Mets
3
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 7 H, 1 EMets · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Jorge Polanco flies out to right fielder Billy Cook.
bot 10Bo Bichette grounds out, shortstop Jared Triolo to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Juan Soto to 3rd.
bot 10Francisco Lindor walks.
top 10Jake Mangum strikes out swinging.
top 10Henry Davis singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Billy Cook scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd.42
top 10Nick Gonzales walks. Billy Cook to 2nd.
top 10Nick Yorke walks.
top 10Jared Triolo grounds into a double play, shortstop Francisco Lindor to second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Brett Baty. Ryan O'Hearn out at 2nd. Jared Triolo out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan O'Hearn 3-5, 2 RBI · Oneil Cruz 1-4
New York Mets
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Baty 2-4 · Francisco Lindor 2-4 · Juan Soto 2-5, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.