Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
3
0% — our call
Final
New York Mets
4
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityNew York Mets
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mets in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 9 H, 1 EMets · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Mets win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mets win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Ronny Mauricio singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Francisco Lindor scores.34
bot 10Bo Bichette grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Francisco Lindor to 3rd.
top 10Tim Tawa strikes out swinging.
top 10Ildemaro Vargas lines out to center fielder Luis Robert Jr.
top 10Nolan Arenado pops out to second baseman Marcus Semien.
bot 9Francisco Lindor strikes out swinging.
bot 9Francisco Alvarez grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
bot 9Carson Benge flies out to center fielder Jorge Barrosa.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Arenado 2-5, 1 RBI · Ketel Marte 2-5 · Gabriel Moreno 2-3
New York Mets
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 2-5 · Jorge Polanco 2-4 · Bo Bichette 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.