Statball

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Detroit Tigers
11
100% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
6
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 14 H, 1 ETwins · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Twins win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 12Royce Lewis grounds out sharply, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 12Ryan Kreidler strikes out swinging.
bot 12Ben Ross strikes out swinging.
top 12Kevin McGonigle grounds out, second baseman Ryan Kreidler to first baseman Royce Lewis.
top 12Javier Báez doubles (11) on a pop up to right fielder Luke Keaschall, deflected by first baseman Royce Lewis. Ben Malgeri scores. Max Clark scores. John Peck scores.11–6
top 12John Peck hit by pitch. Ben Malgeri to 3rd. Max Clark to 2nd.
top 12Tommy Nance intentionally walks Max Clark.
top 12Ben Malgeri singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Luke Keaschall.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Torkelson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Max Clark 3-4, 1 RBI · Eduardo Valencia 2-6
Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brooks Lee 3-6 · Josh Bell 2-4 · Kody Clemens 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.