Statball

← All live games · Target Field

Baltimore Orioles
5
100% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
2
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678922111
Orioles · 11 H, 1 ETwins · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Josh Bell strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ryan Jeffers grounds out, third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 9Trevor Larnach lines out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
top 9Jackson Holliday called out on strikes.
top 9Pete Alonso walks.
top 9Gunnar Henderson lines out to center fielder Luke Keaschall.
top 9Carlos Narváez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Alan Roden grounds into a force out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Royce Lewis to 3rd. Luke Keaschall out at 2nd. Alan Roden to 1st.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Pete Alonso 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brooks Lee 2-4, 1 RBI · Royce Lewis 2-4 · Kaelen Culpepper 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.