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Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
4
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 8 H, 0 ETwins · 3 H, 1 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kody Clemens hits a grand slam (19) to right center field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Royce Lewis scores. Alan Roden scores.34
bot 9Royce Lewis singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Ryan Jeffers to 2nd.
bot 9Ryan Jeffers hit by pitch.
bot 9Victor Caratini lines out to shortstop Tyler Tolbert.
bot 9Trevor Larnach strikes out swinging.
top 9Carter Jensen strikes out swinging.
top 9Tyler Tolbert singles on a ground ball to center fielder Luke Keaschall. Josh Rojas to 3rd.
top 9Josh Rojas grounds into a force out, second baseman Royce Lewis to shortstop Ryan Kreidler. Isaac Collins out at 2nd. Josh Rojas to 1st.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jac Caglianone 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tyler Tolbert 2-4 · Isaac Collins 2-3
Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 1-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Ryan Jeffers 1-3 · Royce Lewis 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.