Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
5
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
9
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 7 H, 1 ETwins · 14 H, 0 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Colton Cowser grounds out, second baseman Royce Lewis to first baseman Victor Caratini.
top 9Coby Mayo singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Keaschall. Pete Alonso scores. Jackson Holliday scores. Christian Franklin to 3rd.59
top 9Jeremiah Jackson strikes out swinging.
top 9Christian Franklin hit by pitch.
top 9Tyler O'Neill grounds out, first baseman Victor Caratini to pitcher Taylor Rogers. Pete Alonso to 3rd. Jackson Holliday to 2nd.
top 9Jackson Holliday singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Keaschall. Pete Alonso to 2nd.
top 9Pete Alonso singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Ryan Kreidler.
bot 8Kaelen Culpepper called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Holliday 2-4 · Coby Mayo 2-4, 3 RBI · Leody Taveras 1-3
Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Martin 4-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Bell 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brooks Lee 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.