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Kansas City Royals
4
100% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
0
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789112
Royals · 12 H, 0 ETwins · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Victor Caratini grounds out, pitcher Steven Cruz to first baseman Salvador Perez.
bot 9Royce Lewis lines out sharply to shortstop Tyler Tolbert.
bot 9Josh Bell pops out to catcher Carter Jensen in foul territory.
top 9Salvador Perez strikes out swinging.
top 9Jac Caglianone singles on a sharp ground ball to shortstop Ryan Kreidler. Lane Thomas to 2nd.
top 9Lane Thomas singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Martin.
top 9Carter Jensen strikes out swinging.
top 9Tyler Tolbert doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Luke Keaschall.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Tolbert 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Salvador Perez 2-5 · Nick Loftin 2-3, 1 RBI
Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 1-4 · Austin Martin 1-1 · Ryan Kreidler 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.